Macro Hedge

John Balafoutas | July 26th, 2023

Quote of the Day

“No loss should be more regrettable to us than losing our time, for it’s irretrievable”

- Zeno

The Big Idea

🤝 Banking’s Newest Couple

The West’s Sweetheart Couple: Banc of California agreed to buy PacWest Bancorp in a move to further shore themselves up following a regional banking crisis earlier this year.

  • While the value of the tie-up isn’t huge by M&A standards, at just over $1B, it is a major milestone for a banking sector that was in turmoil earlier in the year and still faces questions about its health

  • The deal didn’t require an assist from the federal government, which had stepped in to rescue other banks and broker sales earlier this year

Consideration: In the all-stock transaction, PacWest stockholders will receive 0.6569 of a Banc of California share for each share they own, or about $9.60 based on Banc of California’s closing price Tuesday. That is a roughly 25% premium to PacWest’s $7.69 closing price Tuesday.

Daily Scoop

📈 Fed Set to Raise Rates

July’s FOMC Meeting Preview: Federal Reserve policymakers are poised to hike interest rates to the highest level in 22 years, while retaining a tightening bias that signals the possibility of an additional move later in the year.

Market Expectations: The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to raise rates a quarter point to the 5.25% to 5.5% range, an 11th increase since early 2022. It will release the decision at 2 p.m. in Washington. Chair Jerome Powell will hold a press conference 30 minutes later.

Source: Bloomberg

🏦 Wells Approves Share Buyback Program

Shareholder Announcement: Wells Fargo said on Tuesday its board had authorized a new share buyback program of up to $30B. The bank's shares rose 1% in extended trading after earlier jumping almost 4% after the announcement.

  • Wells Fargo announced the buybacks days after it reported a 57% jump in profit in the second quarter, which was lifted by customer interest payments

  • The lender and rival U.S. banking giants raised their third-quarter dividends after sailing through the Federal Reserve's annual health check, which showed they have enough capital to weather a severe economic downturn

Source: Reuters 

Market Movement (YTD)

  • NDX: Nasdaq

  • SPX: S&P 500

  • INDU: Dow Jones Industrial Average

  • XLF: Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund